Now that hes warm, Bay Hill actually presents a better fit for his long ball off the tee, but in this beefier field, hes slipped behind the crowd, and thats good for us. Kapalua Plantation Course 4. There is trouble lurking off nearly every tee shot, and youll certainly see a few big numbers this week. It will play long at more than 7,400 yards, and thick rough off the fairways and around the greens will provide a true test. Released Wednesday. Sam Ryder ($7,000 DraftKings | $8,300 FanDuel). BetMGM + Stokastic Promo Get 1 Free Month! He played here last year and posted a very impressive 22nd-place finish on his first attempt here at El Camaleon. (Photo by Derick E. Hingle/USA TODAY Sports). Im is clearly the class of this field, and hes a past champion for good reason. Jon Rahm Now Heavy Favorite at Arnold Palmer Invitational After Strong First Round, Arnold Palmer Invitational Bets: Bettor in For Wild Pay Day if Scottie Scheffler Repeats, Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Odds & Trends: Bettors Loving Will Zalatoris, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Longshot Bets: Keith Mitchell Scorching Hot, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational One and Done Picks: It May Be Collin Morikawa Time. Hes been much improved with the flatstick, gaining strokes in nine of 14 starts. World No. Byeong Hun An (+550 = Top 20) After slotting at No. The next biggest story to watch is Viktor Hovland's quest for a three-peat in this event, something that has not been done on the PGA Tour since Steve Stricker won three consecutive John Deere Classics between 2009 and 2011. Gdula: Maverick McNealy (26-1, FanDuel) I cant suggest fading anyone at 18-1 or shorter. Caves Valley Golf Club, 2. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to, From Golf Digest Architecture Editor emeritus Ron Whitten: Byeong Hun An (+550 = Top 20) After slotting at No. Other top contenders in the Arnold Palmer field include Rory McIlroy (19-2), Scottie Scheffler (11-1), Max Homa (19-1), Collin Morikawa (21-1), Justin Thomas (23-1), Xander Schauffele (24-1) and Will Zalatoris (24-1). Schauffele (19-1), Zalatoris (19-1) and Tom Kim (20-1) also are top choices, while Si Woo Kim is priced at 29-1 at Caesars. Brandon Gdula, FanDuel/numberFire managing editor: Collin Morikawa (16-1, FanDuel) El Camaleon should suit Morikawa very well. He got his first career victory less than a month later and finished the season with four. Stop Guessing and Start Winning! McClure has also locked in a slew of other prop bets for the the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023, including a long shot listed at 100-1 to win it all. 2022 Stokastic.com LLC. The field includes 44 of the top 50 players in the World Rankings, which is the most of any event since the 2022 Open Championship. I was excited to see Englishs T-12 last week at Riviera until I saw the 8.8 strokes he gained puttingthe best putting performance of his career, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. All Rights Reserved. 1. The final round will be played on PGA West's Stadium Course after a 54-hole cut. The main feature at PGA National (and most Florida courses) is water! He missed the cut in both Phoenix and Los Angeles, struggling to put all four facets of the game together. Courses 189 View detail Preview site Matt Fitzpatrick ($8,800 DraftKings | $10,300 FanDuel). His iron play has been downright putrid, and Im not sure he can sustain gaining six strokes on the greens like he has the last two starts. Bermuda: Mark Hubbard. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Kevin Streelman (+900, Bet365) The off-the-tee and approach numbers are top 15 in this field over the past 24 rounds, per Fantasy National, so Streelman should give himself plenty of chances. Joaqun Niemann (R) of Chile celebrates with the trophy alongside friend and competitor Mito Pereira (L) of Chile after winning the final round of The Genesis Invitational at Riviera Country Club on February 20, 2022 in Pacific Palisades, California. This website is for entertainment purposes only and does not offer real money bets. Byeong Hun An (+550 = Top 20) After slotting at No. Matt Fitzpatrick might be coming back down to earth after his US Open win so take Jon Rahm to beat the Englishman in a 72-hole match bet at -130 DraftKings With winds projected to gust, a couple of confident sharpshooters will surprise despite the length of the track. Mayo won the 2020 FSWA Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year and Golf Writer of the Year awards, along with the Fantasy Sports Trade Association Best Sports Betting Analyst award in 2020. Against the Grain: A look at this weeks projected ownership from Jason Rouslin, and some against the grain plays to help provide variance in your GPP lineups. His value will be flattened on course history alone -- since his debut in 2020, hes gone T18-7th-T20 but thats OK because its the kind of consistently strong form we want in every investment, not to mention that hes navigated Bay Hill in a variety of conditions to extend that confidence into this weeks fray. The expert finished the 2021-22 season up 42 units on his outright plays, including hitting Hudson Swafford (250-1) at last year's The American Express. Look for these on Wednesday afternoons. 13 in the , he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for 21st with a Sunday 73. Copyright 2023 PGA TOUR, Inc. All rights reserved. ): 1. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, World Wide Technology Championship picks 2022: Morikawa or Finau? Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Cam Davis. Players 2023: The 13 best bets to win at TPC Sawgrass Svensson rebounded from MCs at Torrey Pines and Phoenix with a T-9 at Riviera, and hell find a reprieve in this field. Caddie: Brendon Todd (+100) over Seamus Power (Bet365) Todd, a former winner here, has been playing some spectacular golf this Fall. Sepp Straka (T-35, T-30, T-3), Percent chance to win (based on course history, fit, trending, etc. After one of the most memorable California Swings in recent memory, the PGA Tour kicks off its Florida Swing this week at the Honda Classic. Gambling problem? Thats a sour combination most weeks, but its especially true here at PGA National, which will require putting and precision. Lee Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Brendon Todd (45-1, DraftKings) Todd is a past winner here at Mayakoba and also has a further eighth-place and 11th-place finish to his name here. Mayo (@ThePME) was named 2021 Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year by the Fantasy Sports Writing Association, while also being a finalist for Podcast of the Year and Golf Writer of the Year. Powers, Golf Digest: Davis Riley (+650, DraftKings) Riley has fallen out of favor with the gambling community of late thanks to some so-so results, but his irons have still been cooking. Niemann played at Harbour Town last week and tied for 12th. Our experts are torn. Listen to the Twilight 9 podcast! Before you lock in any 2023 American Express picks, be sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from SportsLine golf insider Patrick McDonald. How to Sports Bet 101: What is a Point Spread? After seemingly making strides with his approach play in La Jolla and Phoenix, he took a few steps backlosing 2.90 strokes on approach at Riviera. managing editor: Tony Finau (18-1, BetMGM) Nobody has been better over the past 24 rounds than Finau, whos third in SG/approach, sixth in SG/off the tee and 12th in putting. Overall, 23 of the games best 25 players will tee it up come Thursday. His best finish was a seventh-place finish in 2021, so he should be brimming with good vibes here. Thats, by far, the best mark in this field. Odds provided byTipico Sportsbook; accessUSA TODAY Sports betting oddsfor a full list. PGA Tour odds, lines, picks and predictions - USA TODAY Hes gained strokes on approach in seven straight starts, something he hasnt done since the fall of 2017 when he was ranked inside the top 10 in the world. But the hole I like best at Bay Hill is the par-4 eighth, a lovely dogleg-right with a diagonal green perched above a small circular pond. Golf Draft Wingman for DraftKings, Yahoo, ESPN, CBS, FFPC & More, Simulate your Fantasy Football Draft Against Awesemo's AI, The Fantasy Football Rankings Cheatsheet Hub, Breakouts, Sleepers, Deep Sleepers, and Busts, PGA DFS Rankings for DraftKings, FanDuel & Yahoo, Fantasy Golf: PGA DFS Projections for DraftKings, FanDuel, and Yahoo, PGA DFS Projections for Showdown and Weekend Daily Fantasy Golf, Top Golfers Tool PGA DFS Simulation Results for DraftKings, FanDuel and Yahoo, PGA Weather Splits for Daily Fantasy Golf and Betting, Daily Fantasy Golf: Power Rankings and Matchups, PGA DFS Pro Plays for Fantasy Golf Lineups on DraftKings + FanDuel. Palmer/Scheffler (5.4 percent). For live odds, visit BetMGM. Thats the ninth-best putting performance of anyone in this field for the entire 2023 season. Will Zalatoris ($9,400 DraftKings | $10,900 FanDuel). Thats a tough scene. DraftKings Round 4 Showdown Golf Cheat Sheet: Best PGA DFS Picks for the Genesis Invitational | Patrick Cantlay. This run of good form has resulted in two top-10 PGA Tour finishes in his last four events. Please check your email for a confirmation. He gained 7.86 strokes ball-striking at Riviera, the best mark since his victory in Memphis last year. Weekly Cheatsheets: If you are already an Awesemo.com frequent visitor, you know about these quick hitter cheatsheets that give you some ideas on who to play each week. Released Monday night/Tuesday Morning. Jon Rahm (8/1) Keyur Khamar. Hes played four times this yearmissing the cut in Phoenix but earning a runner-up, third place finish and T-6 in his three other starts. Hes gained 17.03 strokes putting over his last six measured starts, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Latest Golf News - PGA TOUR Expert Picks: Genesis Scottish Open - PGATour Now he gets to battle a much weaker field, where he should be able to separate himself more frequently. The Korn Ferry trademark is also a registered trademark, and is used in the Korn Ferry Tour logo with permission. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational First Round Leader Picks: Rickie Fowler Time! Kim +17000Justin Suh +17000Kevin Yu +17000Byeong Hun An +17000Ben Taylor +17000Troy Merritt +19000Stewart Cink +19000Callum Tarren +19000Matthew NeSmith +19000Erik Van Rooyen +21000Satoshi Kodaira +21000Adam Long +21000Charley Hoffman +21000David Lingmerth +21000. With winds projected to gust, a couple of confident sharpshooters will surprise despite the length of the track. This event used to be one of, (Editors Note: Alex Noren withdrew from the Honda Classic after publication) The Honda Classic is a full-field event that features a 144-man starting list and, Were back with another edition of PGA DraftKings picks cheat sheets for the 2022-23 PGA Tour season. Detry certainly seems to be building toward something big. Palmer was able to grab World No. Set a budget. TPC Scottsdale 3. Anyone who follows McDonald's advice has been cashing in. Tournament match-ups are often released by Tuesday at many top sportsbooks along with expert picks from PGA Tour staff and Golf Digest panel among other leading handicappers and analysts. Instead, the golfing world is heading to Vidanta Vallarta for the first time to play the Mexico Open this week. As well as contributing to Golf Digest, Andy is also a data analyst and writer for , where he covers PGA Tour betting and daily fantasy. He came to Golf Digests betting panel after previously writing for , the Score and GolfWRX. And which sleepers could set you up for a potentially huge payday? Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner. Picks F1 DFS is BACK! Top-10 results from the Bermuda Championship: Gehman: 1 for 1 (Thomas Detry +225); Everybody else: 0 for 1, Top-10 results from this season: Hennessey: 1 for 6 (up 2 units); Mayo: 1 for 5 (up 0 units); Gdula: 1 for 6 (down 0.1 units); Caddie: 1 for 6 (down 0.5 units); Alldrick: 1 for 6 (down 1 unit); Gehman: 1 for 6 (down 2.75 units); Powers: 0 for 6 (down 6 units), RELATED: A death stare from Tiger, playing Tony Finau for cash and more with Doug Smith. Sure, many factors contribute to success and not all performers are defined by them, but the 2023 body of evidence already includes the likes of Eric Cole (P2), Ben Martin (T5) and Carson Young (T29), each of whom with attention-getting performances at PGA National last week. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. In fact, the model is up over $8,300 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Jon Rahm (+550, FanDuel) Ill take the easy pick with Rahm this week. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Golf DFS Fades & Pivots: Cameron Young Primed for Breakthrough, Fantasy Golf Sleepers & GPP Picks for 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge DraftKings & FanDuel Lineups This Week, RSM Classic Data & Stats | PGA DFS Picks for DraftKings & FanDuel Lineups, DraftKings Golf Cheat Sheet: Best PGA DFS Picks for the Arnold Palmer Invitational | Jason Day, FanDuel Golf Cheat Sheet: Best PGA DFS Picks for the Arnold Palmer Invitational | Scottie Scheffler, PGA DFS Top 5 Sleepers: The Northern Trust DraftKings + FanDuel Picks This Week with Phil Mickelson | Today, 8/17, Top 5 PGA Fades: The Northern Trust PGA DFS Picks for DraftKings + FanDuel This Week | Bryson DeChambeau, Top 5 PGA DFS Value Plays: The Northern Trust PGA DFS Picks for DraftKings + FanDuel with Shane Lowry | Today, 8/17, Top 5 PGA Fades: Wyndham Championship PGA DFS Picks for DraftKings + FanDuel This Week | Hideki Matsuyama, PGA Championship DFS Picks Final Round DraftKings Fantasy Golf Picks & Predictions, Above the Cut: PGA DFS Advice & Daily Fantasy Golf Picks for the Wyndham Championship on DraftKings & FanDuel, The Stokastic PGA DFS Content Schedule | When and Where to Find All Our Free & Premium Content, PGA DFS: DraftKings & FanDuel Strategy Guide. One surprising pick from McDonald this week: The expert is strongly fading Schauffele, who could struggle even if he is healthy. 7 and sank one of the most beautiful aces youll ever see. Hes gained strokes with the flatstick in six of his last seven measured events. The PGA Tour is headed to TPC Louisiana for the Zurich Classic, a team event where the format of play rotates between best ball and alternate shot. Stadium Course at PGA West, Trending: 1. He held the lead for much of the Farmers Insurance Open, finishing T-4, before consecutive T-20 finishes in Phoenix and Los Angeles. Scheffler has four straight top-10 finishes, including a runner-up at the Hero World Challenge.You can see who he is backing this week at The American Express 2023 at SportsLine. While that sounds great, its likely unsustainable. In a memo to PGA Tour members sent to players Wednesday, PGA Tour Commissioner Jay Monahan made the news Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. (Subscribe for video or audio.) The pair of Cameron Smith and Marc Leishman enter as the defending champions, while the betting favorites are Viktor Hovland and Collin Morikawa (+600). Hes playing well, with three straight top-25 finishes while peppering in three top-10 finishes within his last nine starts. Showdown Spotlight Articles: Released after the conclusion of play each day, this article is to give some ideas for Showdown contests, and updates to the daily action in case one missed it. Those serve as his only two top-15 finishes over his past 14 starts. Thats his second top-25 finish in his first four starts during this campaign. His best finish over nine starts is a T-26 and hes the only golfer in the field who has played at least 30 rounds here and is losing strokes to the field. and synopsis provided by Jason Rouslin. Kim); Powers: 1 for 1 (Detry (+110) over McCarthy); Alldrick: 1 for 1 (Detry (-125) over Meronk; Mayo: 0 for 1; Gdula: 0 for 1; Gehman: 0 for 1; Hennessey: 0 for 1, Matchup Results from this season (Wins-Losses-Pushes): Hennessey: 5-1-0 (up 3.8 units); Gehman: 4-2-0 (up 1.65 units); Caddie: 3-3-0 (down 0.1 units); Alldrick: 4-2-0 (up 1.38 units); Powers: 2-4-0 (down 1.85 units); Mayo: 1-4-0 (down 3.1 units); Gdula: 0-5-1 (down 5 units). Before you lock in any 2023 American Express picks, be sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from SportsLine golf insider Patrick McDonald. He is followed by Cantlay (19-2), Scheffler (11-1) and Tony Finau (15-1) as top contenders in The American Express 2023 field. Hes played well at Bay Hill the last two years, but he was in much better lead-in form. As Joel Beall of Golf Digest noted, the video compilation show Worlds Funniest Animals also aired on Saturday drew more viewers than LIV Golf did. Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be Jordan Spieth ($8,600 DraftKings | $10,100 FanDuel). Sanderson Farms Championship: J.T. Toss in four par 5s and scoring conditions during which par will feel like a red number, and it wont matter much that his putting unlikely will impress. Hickok snapped a streak of eight straight missed cuts with a T-29 at The Genesis Invitational. Farmers Insurance Open DFS picks 2023: Can we trust The odds are a bit too long as a result. Hes proving to be a well-rounded golfer with plenty of room for growth. Rounds 2 and 4: Alternate shot. RELATED: Here are the odds for every player in the field this week at the 2023 Honda Classic, Robby Shelton ($7,800 DraftKings | $9,700 FanDuel). Heading into this week's tournament, the 35-year-old ranks first on the PGA Tour in total strokes gained (1.957), 11th in strokes gained tee-to-green (1.307), 21st in strokes gained on approach (0.677), and 26th in strokes gained putting (0.650). Kramer Hickok ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,300 FanDuel). You can head to SportsLine now to see all of McClure's 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational prop picks, sleepers, head-to-head matchups, best bets, and his top one and done pick. We run 1000s simulations for every PGA Tour event to predict the most likely outcomes and find value against the sportsbooks. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. The PGA Tour begins the Florida swing this week with the Honda Classic, which will once again play at PGA National (par 70, 7,125 yards, The PGA Tour continues this week with the first stop on the Florida swing and the Honda Classic.