In this installment, the crew discusses how any potential changes could reshape the nominating process. The crew discusses what these results mean for the midterms this fall and where other indicators of the political environment are pointing. Galen Druke talks to Nicole Hemmer about her new book, "Partisans: The Conservative Revolutionaries Who Remade American Politics in the 1990s.". The FBI released nationwide crime numbers from 2020 this week that will likely contribute to the already tense political debate over crime and policing. Americans are spending more and more time alone, and more than a third reported experiencing serious loneliness" in 2021. FiveThirtyEight contributor Laura Bronner shares what the data can tell us about the ideological direction of the court with the addition of Justice Amy Coney Barrett. - In her first-ever diary entry, recorded eight days after President John F. Kennedy is assassinated, Lady Bird presents a dramatic, cinematically detailed moment-by-moment account of those terrible hours in Dallas, and the days that follow. Preview of Spotify. gold rush supreme second chance winners. Ron DeSantis over Trump for the 2024 GOP presidential primary. The crew previews what to expect on Election Day and listens to some of the most common types of campaign ads aired this cycle. The crew also discusses how Americans are responding to the administrations handling of the end of the war. The crew breaks down notable primary races in Minnesota, Vermont and Wisconsin. Since then, the FiveThirtyEight blog has covered a broad spectrum of subjects including politics, sports, science, economics, and popular culture. The crew looks at how some of the most competitive primaries in 2022 are shaping up. In the immediate aftermath of the Jan. 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol, it appeared that Republican leaders might be ready to break ties with then-President Trump once and for all. Millions of people were without power or heat, and in some cases water, in freezing cold temperatures for days because of severe blackouts. Most recently, he ran and hosted 30 for 30 Podcasts, part of ESPN Films. But you can form your own by listening and learning (and learning how to listen). They also discuss why gas stoves became such a hot topic of debate on the internet and what the 2024 primary for U.S. Senate in California will look like. And what does Florida's new voting law tell us about the GOP's efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the party's larger motivations? This is the final episode. These articles reported facts without employing biased word choice, slant, or other types of media bias . Economics Professor at George Washington University, Tara Sinclair, joins to explain what is going on with the economy and the potential consequences of a spike in prices. Member of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, Heather Boushey, joins the podcast to discuss what is in the American Rescue Plan and why. It's a busy week! The crew discusses what her path to the nomination could look like, given that Trump and Florida Gov. The crew discusses potential sticking points in the Democrats' infrastructure plan and debates whether it should be considered bipartisan if a sizable portion of Republican voters support it, but Republican lawmakers do not. Galen Druke speaks with Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio about whether that trend continued in the 2022 midterms and what it all means for 2024. They also ask whether a recent Gallup poll reporting that a record number of Americans are thriving is a good or bad use of polling. The crew discusses how much the two parties are spending on campaign ads and if it could factor into the forecasts shift. 0:00:00 They also debate whether a poll asking Americans to choose what they think is the best decade of their lives is a good or bad use of polling. The crew discusses how a bipartisan gun control deal was reached and if this unwritten legislation could be passed by the end of the year. Tuesday night was a test for some big names in the Republican Party in Wyoming and Alaska. FiveThirtyEight's Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux and Nathaniel Rakich discuss the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Tuesday night's primary elections.Website: http:. Ron DeSantis and former President Donald Trump. 11:03 AM. They also check in on where the redistricting process stands around the country and ask what the two parties should be thankful for this Thanksgiving. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers across American markets and society on the whole. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? Plus, they debate the best way to ask Americans about their political identity. During a punchy episode of FiveThirtyEight's now daily politics podcast on Wednesday, Silver pushed back forcefully on anyone out there accusing him or his website of getting the 2020 election. Later, Monica Potts joins to discuss why voters sometimes contradict their partisan beliefs on ballot measures. New episodes release Tuesdays, Thursdays, and Sundays. They also discuss how the country has changed demographically and geographically over the past decade, based on the newly released 2020 census data. Thats Changing. The team debates if Americans really do move to Canada, or to different U.S. states, for political reasons. The crew reacts to the results in Tuesdays primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Kentucky and Oregon. The Sporkful production team includes Dan Pashman, Emma Morgenstern, Andres O'Hara, Tracey Samuelson, and Jared O'Connell. They also ask whether the Republican Party can coalesce around an alternative to former President Donald Trump and whether President Bidens recent dismissal of the polls is a good or bad use of polling. The crew digs into why Democrats underperformed in a special election in Texas. The crew talks about the most notable data points and what it means for Democratic and Republican strategies going forward. Tia Mitchell, of the Atlanta Journal Constitution, joins the podcast to discuss what to expect from former President Trump's second impeachment trial. Transcript for What if America had a lot more political parties? police- settlements. Micah Cohen and Kaleigh Rogers also join to talk about why Republicans are not backing a bipartisan commission to investigate the January 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol. The board of directors voted Friday to accept the resignation of David Held, effective June 1, and will then offer him the same job on . Political scientists Yanna Krupnikov and John Barry Ryan suggest that focusing only on the Left/Right divide in American politics is reductive. They also ask why support for gun control measures hasn't translated into new laws and look at steps the Pew Research Center is taking to ensure they have a representative sample of Republicans in their panel surveys. This installment of the podcast explores the role that the Black church plays in American politics, through initiatives like "souls to the polls" and beyond. If you don't already have iTunes, you can download it here. He has also reported audio documentaries at FiveThirtyEight, including the monthslong series "The Gerrymandering Project." His work has been heard on NPR, WNYC, On The Media, CBC, Wisconsin Public Radio and the University of Cambridge's ELECTION podcast. Listeners wanted to know what to make of the NYC mayoral race, whether primary races tell us anything about the midterm elections, what voting system is the best, the likelihood of filibuster reform and, of course, whether or not hot dogs can be considered sandwiches. They also check in on the results from two recent primary elections in Ohio and announce the launch of FiveThirtyEights Redistricting Tracker. Galen Druke speaks with the director of the Harvard study, Robert Waldinger, about the lessons his findings have for politics in America. Each week, host Jody Avirgan brings you stories and interviews about how data is changing our lives. My mid-week morning train WFH reads: The SPAC Fad Is Ending in a Pile of Bankruptcies and Fire Sales: At least eight businesses that went public through mergers with "blank-check" companies have sought protection from creditors. They also look at the politics of two hot button issues in the Senate and speak with Carlos Odio of Equis Research about how Latino voters are viewing the two parties in 2022. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The crew analyzes new polling suggesting Americans support enforcing a no-fly zone over Ukraine and banning the purchase of Russian oil even if it increases gas prices. OPEC+ announced its cutting oil production by 2 million barrels a day, President Biden is talking about the threat of nuclear Armageddon and shoes keep dropping in the Georgia Senate race. Crime analyst Jeff Asher discussed what those numbers can -- and can't -- tell us, and explains the challenges in collecting crime data. 01:00 PM. 10 Wednesday AM Reads. The crew discusses why Sarah Palin may not be a shoe-in for a vacant House seat in Alaska. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. FiveThirtyEight Politics 199 Episodes Share Follow Episodes About 61 minutes | Feb 27, 2023 How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear To mark a year since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. It's easy. FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News (US) Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. heritage commons university of utah. Galen and Nate open the mailbag to answer listeners questions about politics, polling and more. Galen Druke discusses the context of these laws with Theodore Johnson, the Director of the Fellows Program at the Brennan Center for Justice. In Kim Barker's memory, the city of Laramie . All rights reserved. The crew tries to rank the electoral significance of some of the biggest stories in the news right now. In light of new data showing union membership at its lowest point since the Bureau of Labor Statistics began counting, they also look at how that decline has shaped U.S. politics. On Thursday, the Supreme Court wrapped up its first term with a 6-3 conservative majority on the bench. Galen speaks with him. My theme song for the "What's the Point" podcast from FiveThirtyEight, a podcast about our data age. apache saddles amarillo texas shockwave treatment for gallstones in the philippines price They also check in on the upcoming Virginia governors race and discuss a FiveThirtyEight report about how Congress may have inadvertently legalized THC -- the main psychoactive compound in marijuana. The crew discusses why Bidens favorability is falling and how much Democrats should worry about it. security jobs paying $30 an hour; fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts The crew breaks down Rep. Liz Cheney's loss, what comes next, and who's currently up and down in Alaska. They play a game of "Guess What Americans Think," in which the panelists have to guess Americans' opinions on a wide variety of topics, including Elon Musk, inflation and Britney Spears. How did the polling averages and seat-gain projections compare with the actual results? Last week, we began to explore the most high-profile of those mayoral contests -- the New York City Democratic primary. The crew previews Tuesday's primaries in Georgia as well as contests in Arkansas, Alabama, Texas and Minnesota. They also preview next week's mayoral election in Chicago and ask whether a new poll of Arizona's 2024 Senate race is actually telling us anything useful. The FiveThirtyEight 2022 midterms forecast is live, and it shows that Republicans are strong favorites to win the House while the Senate is a toss up between the two parties. In early January of 2020, then-President Trump encouraged Raffensperger to help overturn the election results in Georgia. In the first "Model Talk" episode of the 2022 midterms cycle, Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the factors behind that forecast. They also break down how candidate misconduct is generally factored into the FiveThirtyEight model. Its October and the surprises are rolling in. It was his first big national speech since the midterms and a preview of his likely 2024 reelection bid. Ohio Rep. Anthony Gonzalez announced he is retiring from Congress at the end of his term. Lastly, they ask whether a recent survey of Americans attitudes about secession is a good or bad use of polling. They also take a look at whether the Republican Party is conducting a post-mortem after its recent electoral losses. The majority of the coverage did not show signs of bias, such as articles on immigration, midterm elections and the Jan. 6 hearings. The crew debates whether a recent Gallup poll showing that more Americans identify with the GOP than the Democratic Party is a "good or bad use of polling." In her new book How Civil Wars Start And How To Stop Them, Barbara F Walter writes we are now closer to civil war than any of us would like to believe. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew discusses the results of the California gubernatorial recall election. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers . Instagram did not return a 200. They also look at how the Democratic Party's effort to rearrange its presidential primary calendar is going, and ask whether a survey of Republican National Committee members was a good or bad use of polling. They also address a listener question that suggests Republicans achieve their policy goals more often than Democrats. The crew discusses the role of the debt ceiling in politics, why it exists in the first place, and the chances of it being abolished altogether. Whereas Tester . His new book is called "The Engagement: Americas Quarter-Century Struggle Over Same-Sex Marriage.". They also debate whether phone or online polling is a better tool for gauging Americans' views on sensitive topics like the death penalty, and they preview a forthcoming report on how FiveThirtyEight's forecast models did in 2020. You can't imitate a worldview. A bipartisan coalition of ten senators, with the support of President Biden, announced a $600 billion infrastructure plan last week. Download this theme at theoneamradio.bandcamp.com/track/whatspoint-theme. The crew discusses why the country responded to the attacks the way it did and how healthy American democracy is today. Its a bold suggestion, and in this installment of the podcast we interrogate it. As Congress considers legislation that would decriminalize marijuana and end the sentencing disparity for crack and cocaine offenses, Galen Druke speaks with FiveThirtyEight contributor Lester Black about what Americans think should be done about drugs and how politicians are responding. Staff writer at The Atlantic Elaine Godfrey and political science professor Danny Hayes discuss the role local news plays in society and what happens when it erodes. Mental Health AI & Data Science Politics News Business Investing English United States 365 episodes since Nov. 1, 2018 episodic IN THIS PODCAST FiveThirtyEight Politics They also discuss the recent trend in Senate candidates refusing to debate each other and why Republicans can't agree on what abortion restrictions to pass. The crew discusses why the Republican National Committee chose to censure Representatives Cheney and Kinzinger and how different parts of the party view the violent events of January 6th, 2021. The crew looks at public opinion on the war in Afghanistan and the Biden administration's decision to withdraw U.S. troops as the country now faces a Taliban takeover. What do we know about the novel coronavirus, and what do we know we don't know? Politics Podcast: Baby Boomers' Strength Was In Their Numbers. This is the final FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast episode of the Trump presidency. Galen Druke speaks with George Washington University economist Tara Sinclair about the economics behind Americans pessimistic assessment of the economy. 30, 2021 How The CDC's Blindspots Complicated The Fight Against COVID-19 By Maggie Koerth and Sinduja Srinivasan Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. Galen and Nate discuss what to make of it in this installment of Model Talk.". Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. In this installment of Model Talk," Nate and Galen reflect on the many twists and turns of the 2022 campaign so far, including the most salient policy issues and what the final results could tell us about pollsters performance this cycle. Bot Love was created by Diego Senior. Local news is disappearing across the country. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. James Acton is a physicist and co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. In 2018, the operations were transferred from ESPN to sister property ABC News (also under parent The Walt Disney Company ). 01:06 PM. Two days after Election Day, control of the U.S. House and Senate still hangs in the balance as votes are tallied in the Western states. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Dive in and Share your insights! They also continue to track the types of candidates former President Trump has endorsed in the 2022 Republican primaries. The team also looks at how debates about "Critical Race Theory" entered the culture wars, particularly in schools and state legislatures. They also ask whether we should be skeptical of polls showing Democrats performing well in parts of the Midwest where polls have repeatedly underestimated Republicans. It's tempting to use the special election to gauge the national political environment, but the crew explains why one election alone isn't a reliable indicator. It helps our wrinkle, which helps other discover the shop or just tell them on about this series, we'll be . Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Welcome to Internet Archive TV News! The crew looks at what Americans think about aid to Ukraine one year on, how the public may respond to Sen. John Fetterman's treatment for clinical depression and former President Trump's legal liability in a Fulton County investigation. They also introduce a new FiveThirtyEight collaboration with Ipsos aimed at polling Americans about the issues they care most about in the run up to the midterms. If Europe, and of the shop leave us a rating or review in the Apple podcast store when you rating. This is the first episode. They also ask whether a new poll showing Biden's approval rating at just 33 percent deserves all the attention it's been getting. They also break down what that means for future cases and what it means for the legitimacy of the court overall. Commentators and politicos have given lots of hot takes on why Democrats did so poorly in Tuesday's election and what it portends for the 2022 midterms. Maybe its time to get rid of election polls. (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums . They also reflect on how British and American politics changed during the period when "Brexit" and "Trump" dominated the two countries news cycles and consider their lasting impact. FiveThirtyEight Politics Biden Is Set To Be The Next President 2020-11-07 The crew reacts to the news that Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are the projected winners of the 2020 election. With midterm elections in the rearview mirror, Galen and Nate open up the mail bag to answer lingering questions about the results. FiveThirtyEight's COVID-19 podcast is laser-focused on evidence. File Upload. He is now facing a primary from Congressman Jody Hice, whom Trump has endorsed, in his 2022 re-election bid. Posted by October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. Hours before we freeze the FiveThirtyEight midterm forecast tonight, it shows that Republicans are in a dead heat for the Senate and are favored to win the House. 91.5 Chapel Hill 88.9 Manteo 90.9 Rocky Mount 91.1 Welcome 91.9 Fayetteville 90.5 Buxton 94.1 Lumberton 99.9 Southern Pines Hello and welcome to the identity politics podcast I'm deal injury work. In this late-night installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke put their Model Talk hats on and discuss the initial results from the 2022 midterms. They also address concerns that the 2020 Census resulted in an undercount of Latinos. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. FiveThirtyEight Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Podcasts Politics Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. Transcript: Ezra Klein Interviews Ta-Nehisi Coates and Nikole Hannah-Jones July 30, 2021 Every Tuesday and Friday, Ezra Klein invites you into a conversation about something that matters, like. Listen at itun.es/i67M5bV. Galen speaks with James Acton, the co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, about how leaders and experts weigh the risks of a nuclear conflict. Republican Mayra Flores won the special election in Texass 34th congressional district on Tuesday, avoiding a runoff and flipping the longtime Democratic seat in Texass Rio Grande Valley. The crew discusses the politically thorny issue of mental acuity in an increasingly elderly U.S. government, and what Americans think about age limits for public office. They also debate whether the AARP is correct in assessing that women voters over the age of 50 are likely to decide the outcome of the 2022 midterms. Pew Research has released its verified voter survey, looking at how different groups within the electorate voted in 2020. Americans Like Bidens Student Debt Forgiveness Plan. They also discuss the trend of amateur candidates running in and winning House primary elections, and ask whether Biden's dismissal of the polls is a "good or bad use of polling.". The crew discusses two elections in Ohio this week that will test the sway of the establishment in both parties. The Supreme Court Not So Much. This week Nikki Haley became the first major candidate to challenge former President Donald Trump in the 2024 Republican presidential primary. What happens when a former president is facing all kinds of legal liability on the federal and local level, but is also still the de facto party leader and considering another run for the White House? Democratic representative from California Adam Schiff discusses why he thinks American democracy is in trouble, which he lays out in his new book "Midnight In Washington: How We Almost Lost Our Democracy And Still Could.". Democrat and former state Rep. Mary Peltola won Alaska's special congressional election on Wednesday, defeating Republicans Sarah Palin and Nick Begich III. The crew discusses the value of a bipartisan strategy, the motivations behind it and the likelihood of Congress reaching a compromise. By doing so we are missing another important divide, one that may actually run counter to the idea that America is hopelessly conflicted between red and blue. 1 min read; Jun 05, 2022; Bagikan : parade of homes matterport . The crew discusses how the other nine Republicans are faring in their bids to win reelection and debate whether CNNs new polling methodology is a good or bad use of polling. We hear about the decade-long relationship between the two of them, one that dates back to the Kennedys arrival in Washington in the mid-50s, and hear fascinating observations these women make about each other. They also look back at 2021, try to pinpoint the most consequential political events of the year and discuss how their understanding of American politics was challenged. Today, we wanted to share the first episode of the ABC News podcast series, "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson," which uncovers the former first lady's surprisingly powerful role in the Johnson presidency and includes history-making revelations about Lyndon B. Johnsons time in office. They also consider Arizona Sen. Kyrsten Sinema's motivations for registering as an independent and look at the latest polling on a potential presidential primary matchup between Florida Gov. . The full series is available now on Apple Podcasts (https://apple.co/2QQw8e9), Spotify (https://spoti.fi/3ukYgoq), or wherever you listen by searching "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson." The crew reacts to Senator Raphael Warnock's win in the Georgia Senate runoff. Edit your transcribed text. As the 2022 primaries begin in earnest and potential presidential candidates look ahead to 2024, the fight over the future of the political right is underway. The crew talks about the threat of a government shutdown and debt default, as well as how likely it is that Democrats get their legislative priorities passed. American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. A year later, Trump still appears to be the de facto leader of the party. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. 450 episodes. Tensions between the U.S. and China have grown in recent years and, in this installment, the crew looks at changing public opinion of China and how it could shape American politics. They also discuss ranked choice voting and the reasons for delays in New York City's final vote count in the mayoral election. The recall effort ultimately failed by a sizable margin. They determine whether we live in a free or repres The conventional wisdom is that if former President Trump wants the Republican presidential nomination in 2024, it's his. On the Conversations with Tyler podcast, produced by the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, celebrated polymath and academic economist Tyler Cowen explores the minds and methods of today's top thinkers.